Will China’s birth number be halved again?

Will China’s birth number be halved again to 4 million in another thirty years?

Today’s birth number is much lower than one hundred years ago. It is less than 1/3 in 1960s, only sixty years ago.

A powerful government, with its associated high cost, is the greatest burden to the populace. It is the ultimate cause of the dismal fertility.

From the birth numbers, the last hundred years can be grouped into four time periods. From 1925 to 1945, around 14 millions. From 1955 to 1985, around 20 millions. From 1995 to 2015, around 16 millions. From 2025 onward, around 8 millions.

China’s current fertility rate is 1. In 1995, the annual birth number was 16 million. Thirty years later, it is halved to 8 million. Will the birth number be halved again to 4 million in another thirty years?