碰瓷踢到了钢板：评明尼苏达事件

明尼苏达发生的示威抗议分子阻碍ICE行动而被枪杀的事件引起掀起了大风波，当然绝大多数人是情绪宣泄，极少真正清醒的分析。一些从视频的各个角度分析事件，不过，同样的视频不同人完全不同的解读。比如有人说示威女是避开警察转向，也有人说是故意撞向警察，也有人分析本来是想针对警察，但地面路滑导致方向改变等等，诸种说法不一而足。不过清楚的事实就是阻碍执法，面对执法人员不遵从命令，在车附近站立几名执法人员的情况下突然启动车辆，不管是想撞人，还是想逃脱，很明显让周围站立的执法者处于危险的境地。可以说事情如何发展完全取决于驾车者的一念之差。并且最新的视频确实证明执法人员被车撞到了。

不要说土生土长的美国人，就是新移民，到美国学的第一课就是不要挑战执法者，不服上法庭申述。而不是与执法者当场缠斗，尤其不要让执法者感受到可能的威胁，那样的结局可能就是生命不可承受之重。

这是我在X上发现的最清醒的一篇分析，跟我的想法完全一样，用一句话来形容：就是碰瓷踢到了钢板。显然这是一个希望碰瓷挑起事端的示威者，一个负责挑事，还有一个专门负责拍照，一看就是训练有素的专业示威者。当然，碰瓷者并没有当烈士的觉悟，只是想刺激ICE探员激化事端，可以收获一些特别的视频。只是出现了意料之外无法控制的事情才导致了这个后果。这里我不想做任何诛心之论，但显然这位我不知该称为男或女的示威者突然启动车辆的目的就是为了激化冲突，当然目的达到了，不过代价显然出乎肇事者的意料。如果是一个人站在路中间阻碍交通被警察枪杀，很明显是警察滥用权力。但驾驶一辆SUV，并不服从执法者的命令，很显然对周围站立的执法者构成了现实的致命威胁，尤其是已经有多次先例的情况下。这篇文章及翻译如下：

I don’t think suspect in yesterday’s confrontation with federal agents, woke up that day planning to get killed. I really don’t. What I do think is that she probably thought she was provoking them in a way that would end with her getting yanked out of the car, maybe shoved to the ground, detained, something ugly but non-lethal. The kind of thing that turns into a viral video where they get to play the victims and paint ICE as monsters. That’s a scenario people assume is safe, especially if they’ve been around activism long enough to believe the script always ends the same way. If her girlfriend was already outside the vehicle filming, that tells me this wasn’t spontaneous panic. That looks like intent to capture a moment. Maybe they thought, “We’ll push, they’ll overreact, we’ll get content.” I’m sure she didn’t think she’d get shot. I’m sure she thought she was in control of the situation. But then reality intervenes. Maybe she didn’t see the officer in front of the car. Maybe she had tunnel vision and was focused on the agent next to her. But she did accelerate forward, and once a vehicle is moving toward an officer, the situation changes instantly. At that point, whether she meant to or not, she put herself into a lethal scenario, and she lost her life. That’s tragic. It’s also not the same thing as “this just happened for no reason.” And if it turns out there’s evidence that this was coordinated... that the girlfriend was setting this up, encouraging it, orchestrating it to get a viral confrontation... then yeah, I think she should face charges too. Not just because someone died, but because if you help engineer a dangerous situation and someone ends up dead, you don’t get to wash your hands of it afterward. Sympathy doesn’t mean pretending people had no agency. And accountability doesn’t mean saying someone deserved to die. Both things can be true at the same time.

我不认为昨天与联邦探员发生冲突的嫌疑人那天醒来就计划着要被杀。我真的不这么认为。但我认为，她当时可能以为自己是在挑衅，最终会被拖出车外，或许会被推倒在地，被拘留，总之会遭遇一些不愉快的、但不会致命的对待。这种事很容易被拍成病毒视频，让他们扮演受害者，把移民执法局（ICE）描绘成怪物。人们通常认为这种情景是安全的，尤其是那些长期参与维权活动的人，他们往往会觉得所有事情的结局都一样。如果她的女友当时已经在车外拍摄，那就说明这不是一时冲动。这看起来像是故意要捕捉某个瞬间。也许她们当时想的是：“我们挑衅一下，他们肯定会反应过度，这样我们就能获得素材了。” 我相信她当时肯定没想到自己会被枪击。我相信她当时肯定觉得自己能掌控局面。但现实并非如此。也许她根本没看到车前的警官。或许她当时目光短浅，只盯着旁边的警员。但她的确加速向前行驶，一旦车辆冲向警员，情况就会瞬间改变。那时，无论她是否出于本意，她都把自己置于致命的境地，最终失去了生命。这很悲惨。但这并非“无缘无故发生的”。如果最终有证据表明这是一起有预谋的事件……是她的女友策划、怂恿、安排这一切，意图制造一场网络热议的冲突……那么，我认为她也应该受到指控。这不仅仅是因为有人丧生，而是因为如果你参与制造危险局面，导致有人死亡，事后你不能置身事外。同情并不意味着假装人们没有自主权。而追究责任也不意味着说某人罪有应得。这两点可以同时成立。