独裁每一天
2025-8-3
半年前川大大上台第一天,就开始了独裁。
先是和马斯克不欢而散,政府效率部也无疾而终。然后是通过贸易战凌霸全世界,摆平了中东,羞辱了乌克兰和南非,罚跪了欧盟、日本、印度、越南和加拿大。
接下来是强迫美联储降息。
再最后,因为美国劳工就业和经济发展的数据不好,就要炒掉国家劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)局长了;
加上川大爷是一个非常勤政的总统,以至于他在二任半年的时间内无日不独裁,无地不独裁。
他独裁的次数,超过他所有前任总统的总和!
注册日期:2021-09-16
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2025-8-3
半年前川大大上台第一天,就开始了独裁。
先是和马斯克不欢而散,政府效率部也无疾而终。然后是通过贸易战凌霸全世界,摆平了中东,羞辱了乌克兰和南非,罚跪了欧盟、日本、印度、越南和加拿大。
接下来是强迫美联储降息。
再最后,因为美国劳工就业和经济发展的数据不好,就要炒掉国家劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)局长了;
加上川大爷是一个非常勤政的总统,以至于他在二任半年的时间内无日不独裁,无地不独裁。
他独裁的次数,超过他所有前任总统的总和!
“他独裁的次数,超过他所有前任总统的总和!“
独裁一般是指一种制度,而不是一次政治操作。但美国向来有模糊定义的传统。从强奸到性侵到语言暴力,冷暴力,男凝,什么都不做也可以定罪。“独裁的次数”,也是这类模糊概念的应用。既然独裁有次数,那么“民主”也可以有。普京的选票胜率比美国总统高多了,也可以说民主次数多多了。
要说这里面没有党派政治操作谁也不相信,川普借故让统计局局长和美联署负责人下课也情有可原,干净利索。川普以推特治国,干大事不拘小节,脉络清晰,步步为营,可圈可点。
谢谢提供详细的解释!统计局局长被裁应该和统计局的正常操作有关。前不久因为川普减少了联邦统计局的经费,统计局就做小了每月劳工就业统计的取样样本 (As commissioner, McEntarfer moved to reduce the sample size of the household survey in the monthly jobs report by five thousand households due to budget constraints.)统计局内部的工作人员也有怨言大概会故意使坏,迈阿密的飓风预报现在就已经开始不做了。联邦政府人浮于事不干人事的现象很普遍,所以当初川普与马斯克砍人似乎砍得还不够很。
前朝旧臣,拜登任命的:In July 2023, President Joe Biden nominated McEntarfer to serve as Commissioner of Labor Statistics at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). She was confirmed by the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions in October and by the Senate in January 2024 in an 86–8 vote. As commissioner, McEntarfer moved to reduce the sample size of the household survey in the monthly jobs report by five thousand households due to budget constraints.
On August 1, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that he had directed his staff to fire McEntarfer, hours after the Bureau's July jobs report, which included a substantial downward revision of reported job creation from the prior two months and weaker-than-expected job creation for July. Trump, without evidence according to the Financial Times, accused McEntarfer of incompetence and of having an ulterior motive by altering employment figures to discredit him and Republicans and, in 2024, to help Kamala Harris in the presidential election.
The firing drew widespread criticism from former and current economists, including McEntarfer's predecessor as BLS commissioner, former Heritage Foundation economist William Beach, who called the firing totally groundless. Jed Kolko, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said the firing was a five-alarm intentional harm to the integrity of US economic data and the entire statistical system. In an editorial, The Wall Street Journal commented that Mr. Trump’s data denial is one more reason fewer Americans will trust the government.
https://youtu.be/EsEKXBvwRYk?si=5qqjff3IfB45vMyF
---- 关于job report 的详细介释。11:00起,自2022年以来,初始评估数据,每个月都高于后来的修正数据。统计学上说不通的,修正数字应该是高有底的。拜登时期,有一次数据往下修正了 80 万,太离谱了。而美联署和市场受初始数据影响比较大。
相比其它部门,统计局是相对中立的
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奥巴马对美国政府的影响远超出常规。
因为就业和经济发展的数据不好,就要炒掉国家统计局局长了
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你被左媒误导了。
抄掉她的原因是因为她的数据一而再,再而三地错误,且错到离谱,严重误导了经济决策。比如 Powell 拒绝降息的最大理由就是是就业数据还是非常强劲,7/30 日做出决定,8/1 日她修改就业数据:
5 月:从 144,000 修改为只有 19,000
6 月:从 147,000 下修为 只有 14,000
十倍的错误!错到这种地步,且之前也一直大错,任何一个合格负责的 CEO 都不可能容忍的。
有人说以后谁还敢相信 BLS 的数据?
合理疑问。
但现在有谁相信 BLM 的数据?
此女是川普钦点的,还是前朝遗臣?
不过,相比其它部门,统计局是相对中立的,因为统计是会计一样是保守行业,一切照本宣科,统计的资料收集,取样和口径较难被有明显政治导向的局长所左右,相比于民意调查的统计。
也许这次川普会如踢联储局一样踢到铁板了,且更难看。